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Effects of human behaviour changes during the COVID-19 pandemic on influenza spread in Hong Kong.

Identifieur interne : 000171 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000170; suivant : 000172

Effects of human behaviour changes during the COVID-19 pandemic on influenza spread in Hong Kong.

Auteurs : Nan Zhang [République populaire de Chine] ; Wei Jia [République populaire de Chine] ; Hao Lei [République populaire de Chine] ; Peihua Wang [République populaire de Chine] ; Pengcheng Zhao [République populaire de Chine] ; Yong Guo [République populaire de Chine] ; Chung-Hin Dung [République populaire de Chine] ; Zhongming Bu [République populaire de Chine] ; Peng Xue [République populaire de Chine] ; Jingchao Xie [République populaire de Chine] ; Yingping Zhang [République populaire de Chine] ; Reynold Cheng [République populaire de Chine] ; Yuguo Li [République populaire de Chine]

Source :

RBID : pubmed:33277643

Abstract

BACKGROUND

COVID-19 continues to threaten human life worldwide. We explored how human behaviours have been influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic in Hong Kong, and how the transmission of other respiratory diseases (e.g. influenza) has been influenced by human behaviour.

METHODS

We focused on the spread of COVID-19 and influenza infections based on reported COVID-19 cases and influenza surveillance data, and investigated the changes in human behaviour due to COVID-19 based on mass transit railway data and the data from a telephone survey. We did the simulation based on SEIR model to assess the risk reduction of influenza transmission caused by the changes in human behaviour.

RESULTS

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of passengers fell by 52.0% compared with the same period in 2019. Residents spent 32.2% more time at home. Each person on average came into close contact with 17.6 and 7.1 people per day during the normal and pandemic periods, respectively. Students, workers, and older people reduced their daily number of close contacts by 83.0%, 48.1%, and 40.3%, respectively. The close contact rates in residences, workplaces, places of study, restaurants, shopping centres, markets, and public transport decreased by 8.3%, 30.8%, 66.0%, 38.5%, 48.6%, 41.0%, and 36.1%, respectively. Based on the simulation, these changes in human behaviours reduced the effective reproduction number of influenza by 63.1%.

CONCLUSIONS

Human behaviours were significantly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic in Hong Kong. Close contact control contributed more than 47% to the reduction in infection risk of COVID-19.


DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciaa1818
PubMed: 33277643


Affiliations:


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<b>BACKGROUND</b>
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<p>COVID-19 continues to threaten human life worldwide. We explored how human behaviours have been influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic in Hong Kong, and how the transmission of other respiratory diseases (e.g. influenza) has been influenced by human behaviour.</p>
</div>
<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">
<p>
<b>METHODS</b>
</p>
<p>We focused on the spread of COVID-19 and influenza infections based on reported COVID-19 cases and influenza surveillance data, and investigated the changes in human behaviour due to COVID-19 based on mass transit railway data and the data from a telephone survey. We did the simulation based on SEIR model to assess the risk reduction of influenza transmission caused by the changes in human behaviour.</p>
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<div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">
<p>
<b>RESULTS</b>
</p>
<p>During the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of passengers fell by 52.0% compared with the same period in 2019. Residents spent 32.2% more time at home. Each person on average came into close contact with 17.6 and 7.1 people per day during the normal and pandemic periods, respectively. Students, workers, and older people reduced their daily number of close contacts by 83.0%, 48.1%, and 40.3%, respectively. The close contact rates in residences, workplaces, places of study, restaurants, shopping centres, markets, and public transport decreased by 8.3%, 30.8%, 66.0%, 38.5%, 48.6%, 41.0%, and 36.1%, respectively. Based on the simulation, these changes in human behaviours reduced the effective reproduction number of influenza by 63.1%.</p>
</div>
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<p>
<b>CONCLUSIONS</b>
</p>
<p>Human behaviours were significantly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic in Hong Kong. Close contact control contributed more than 47% to the reduction in infection risk of COVID-19.</p>
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<AbstractText Label="BACKGROUND" NlmCategory="BACKGROUND">COVID-19 continues to threaten human life worldwide. We explored how human behaviours have been influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic in Hong Kong, and how the transmission of other respiratory diseases (e.g. influenza) has been influenced by human behaviour.</AbstractText>
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<AbstractText Label="RESULTS" NlmCategory="RESULTS">During the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of passengers fell by 52.0% compared with the same period in 2019. Residents spent 32.2% more time at home. Each person on average came into close contact with 17.6 and 7.1 people per day during the normal and pandemic periods, respectively. Students, workers, and older people reduced their daily number of close contacts by 83.0%, 48.1%, and 40.3%, respectively. The close contact rates in residences, workplaces, places of study, restaurants, shopping centres, markets, and public transport decreased by 8.3%, 30.8%, 66.0%, 38.5%, 48.6%, 41.0%, and 36.1%, respectively. Based on the simulation, these changes in human behaviours reduced the effective reproduction number of influenza by 63.1%.</AbstractText>
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<CopyrightInformation>© The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.</CopyrightInformation>
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